YEARLY HIGH
4.0791 MDL
YEARLY LOW
3.8386 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9711 MDL

2026 PGK to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the PGK to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 6, valuing the pair at 4.0791. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 29, dropping to 3.8386.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2405 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9462 to the December average rate of 3.9692, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 4.0791 was down 13.30% compared to the 2025 peak of 4.7050, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,395 MDL
2025 Average 20,912 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 19,193 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,202.60 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

4.0285
3.9363
JanuMarcMayJuly

PGK to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9714, compared to 3.9692 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0021 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9714
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9692

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 0.1869 MDL (High: 4.0791 / Low: 3.8922). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0235 MDL (High: 3.9736 / Low: 3.9501).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1869
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0235

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0405 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0405

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2026: 3.9803) against the same month in 2025 (average: 4.2533), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2731 (-6.42%).

2026 Avg (April) 3.9803
2025 Avg (April) 4.2533

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0203 3.8386 3.9462
February 3.9830 3.9007 3.9440
March 4.0767 3.9363 4.0208
April 4.0791 3.8922 3.9803
May 3.9736 3.9501 3.9596
June 4.0397 3.9278 3.9773
July 4.0178 3.9154 3.9692