YEARLY HIGH
6.2284 MDL
YEARLY LOW
5.0098 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1795 MDL

2019 PGK to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the PGK to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 6.2284. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 5.0098.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2186 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0901 to the December average rate of 5.0643, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6.2284 was up 16.86% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.3297, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,142 MDL
2018 Average 25,563 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 25,049 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,093.13 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5.3939
5.0344
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1952, compared to 5.1639 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0313 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1952
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.1639

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was November, with a trading range of 1.1790 MDL (High: 6.2284 / Low: 5.0494). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0565 MDL (High: 5.1073 / Low: 5.0508).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.1790
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0565

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1363 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1363

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2019: 5.1457) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.0965), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0492 (+0.97%).

2019 Avg (November) 5.1457
2018 Avg (November) 5.0965

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1279 5.0629 5.0901
February 5.1073 5.0508 5.0775
March 5.1422 5.0499 5.0903
April 5.3063 5.1299 5.2320
May 5.4000 5.2853 5.3173
June 5.4199 5.3395 5.3640
July 5.3235 5.1412 5.2277
August 5.2960 5.1063 5.1911
September 5.2843 5.1620 5.2096
October 5.2081 5.0410 5.1448
November 6.2284 5.0494 5.1457
December 5.1340 5.0098 5.0643