YEARLY HIGH
5.3297 MDL
YEARLY LOW
4.9841 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1130 MDL

2018 PGK to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PGK to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 5.3297. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 9, dropping to 4.9841.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3456 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2591 to the December average rate of 5.1014, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.3297 was down 16.79% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.4052, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,648 MDL
2017 Average 28,923 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 24,921 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,727.76 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.2824
5.0028
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1524, compared to 5.0737 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0787 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1524
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0737

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.1709 MDL (High: 5.1878 / Low: 5.0169). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0662 MDL (High: 5.1768 / Low: 5.1107).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1709
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0662

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0755 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0755

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5.2591) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.3157), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0566 (-16.73%).

2018 Avg (January) 5.2591
2017 Avg (January) 6.3157

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.3297 5.1760 5.2591
February 5.2590 5.1016 5.1836
March 5.2257 5.0771 5.1399
April 5.1127 5.0321 5.0675
May 5.1878 5.0169 5.1085
June 5.1768 5.1107 5.1557
July 5.1551 5.0316 5.0828
August 5.0704 4.9841 5.0261
September 5.0973 5.0098 5.0578
October 5.1487 5.0325 5.0777
November 5.1410 5.0431 5.0965
December 5.1545 5.0066 5.1014