2018 PHP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

73.5225 UGX

YEARLY LOW

68.8909 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

70.7651 UGX

2018 PHP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PHP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 73.5225. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 16, dropping to 68.8909.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.6316 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 72.0532 to the December average rate of 70.3522, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 73.5225 was down 0.41% compared to the 2017 peak of 73.8223, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,380,625 UGX

2017 Average 17,945,670 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 17,222,723 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,157,901.56 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

72.5234

69.8120

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 71.1723, compared to 70.3580 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8144 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 71.1723

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 70.3580

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 4.1425 UGX (High: 73.0334 / Low: 68.8909). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0367 UGX (High: 70.9331 / Low: 69.8964).

July Spread (Volatile) ±4.1425

September Spread (Stable) ±1.0367

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.9076 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9076

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 72.0532) against the same month in 2017 (average: 72.6855), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6322 (-0.87%).

2018 Avg (January) 72.0532

2017 Avg (January) 72.6855

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	73.5225	70.6216	72.0532
February	70.9720	69.4902	70.1577
March	70.7435	69.6307	70.1481
April	71.9603	70.5116	71.0491
May	71.9081	70.6883	71.3283
June	73.3322	71.5083	72.2975
July	73.0334	68.8909	70.3899
August	70.6238	69.3869	70.0380
September	70.9331	69.8964	70.4681
October	70.6201	69.5050	70.0727
November	71.3342	70.2173	70.8269
December	71.4988	69.5210	70.3522