YEARLY HIGH
73.6475 UGX
YEARLY LOW
69.5236 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
71.5647 UGX

2019 PHP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the PHP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 1, valuing the pair at 73.6475. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 69.5236.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.1239 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 70.6422 to the December average rate of 72.3829, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.46% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 73.6475 was up 0.17% compared to the 2018 peak of 73.5225, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,411,874 UGX
2018 Average 17,691,450 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 17,380,904 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,030,969.28 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

73.1401
70.1290
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 71.3129, compared to 71.8165 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5036 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 71.3129
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 71.8165

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 2.6770 UGX (High: 73.2086 / Low: 70.5317). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6829 UGX (High: 72.6333 / Low: 71.9505).

October Spread (Volatile) ±2.6770
December Spread (Stable) ±0.6829

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.5049 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5049

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2019: 72.8892) against the same month in 2018 (average: 70.8269), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0623 (+2.91%).

2019 Avg (November) 72.8892
2018 Avg (November) 70.8269

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 71.3161 69.6049 70.6422
February 71.2998 69.7544 70.3799
March 71.4046 69.5236 70.5684
April 72.7179 70.8773 71.9606
May 72.8523 71.3157 72.1209
June 72.9947 71.5014 72.2054
July 72.8279 71.7290 72.3008
August 72.1676 69.7486 70.7959
September 71.2813 70.1778 70.6498
October 73.2086 70.5317 71.8806
November 73.6475 72.3295 72.8892
December 72.6333 71.9505 72.3829