YEARLY HIGH
72.3960 UGX
YEARLY LOW
64.0713 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
67.7650 UGX

2022 PHP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the PHP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 72.3960. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 23, dropping to 64.0713.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.3247 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 68.9008 to the December average rate of 66.3855, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 72.3960 was down 6.45% compared to the 2021 peak of 77.3875, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,099,009 UGX
2021 Average 18,209,634 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 16,017,831 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,081,178.30 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

70.2683
64.5743
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 68.9273, compared to 66.6026 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.3246 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 68.9273
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 66.6026

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 4.8323 UGX (High: 71.9479 / Low: 67.1156). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1470 UGX (High: 69.5240 / Low: 68.3769).

May Spread (Volatile) ±4.8323
January Spread (Stable) ±1.1470

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 2.4125 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.4125

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2022: 69.7938) against the same month in 2021 (average: 73.4974), the exchange rate shifted by -3.7036 (-5.04%).

2022 Avg (June) 69.7938
2021 Avg (June) 73.4974

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 69.5240 68.3769 68.9008
February 69.1693 67.7942 68.5306
March 69.6927 68.2095 68.8984
April 69.5041 67.1155 68.1639
May 71.9479 67.1156 69.2761
June 72.3960 68.2466 69.7938
July 70.1273 66.8442 67.8701
August 70.2058 67.2154 68.6767
September 67.2314 64.8109 66.2642
October 65.5706 64.0713 65.0488
November 66.3744 64.0881 65.3706
December 66.9362 65.7576 66.3855