YEARLY HIGH
77.6254 UGX
YEARLY LOW
71.8021 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
74.9494 UGX

2020 PHP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the PHP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 6, valuing the pair at 77.6254. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 71.8021.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.8234 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 72.3643 to the December average rate of 76.2271, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.34% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 77.6254 was up 5.40% compared to the 2019 peak of 73.6475, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,406,361 UGX
2019 Average 17,892,623 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 17,950,520 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,455,841.43 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

77.3718
71.9090
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 73.8397, compared to 76.0592 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.2195 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 73.8397
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 76.0592

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 4.7499 UGX (High: 77.1198 / Low: 72.3699). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8344 UGX (High: 72.7641 / Low: 71.9297).

March Spread (Volatile) ±4.7499
February Spread (Stable) ±0.8344

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.6895 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6895

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2020: 76.9166) against the same month in 2019 (average: 72.8892), the exchange rate shifted by +4.0274 (+5.53%).

2020 Avg (November) 76.9166
2019 Avg (November) 72.8892

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 73.1399 71.8021 72.3643
February 72.7641 71.9297 72.3725
March 77.1198 72.3699 73.9742
April 75.6646 73.8415 74.6512
May 76.1416 74.4673 75.0172
June 75.6093 73.9832 74.6589
July 75.3801 74.5293 74.9606
August 76.0832 74.8567 75.3897
September 76.8287 75.6488 76.1979
October 77.2079 76.0944 76.6633
November 77.6254 76.2751 76.9166
December 77.0847 75.7102 76.2271