2014 RON to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

56.1260 DJF

YEARLY LOW

48.3271 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

53.3672 DJF

2014 RON to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RON to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 6, valuing the pair at 56.1260. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 48.3271.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.7989 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 53.6325 to the December average rate of 49.2261, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 56.1260 was up 1.23% compared to the 2013 peak of 55.4448, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 280,630 DJF

2013 Average 266,855 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 241,636 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 38,994.34 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

56.1534

48.5964

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 54.7866, compared to 51.9478 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.8388 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 54.7866

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 51.9478

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 2.3244 DJF (High: 53.4663 / Low: 51.1419). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6873 DJF (High: 55.6347 / Low: 54.9475).

September Spread (Volatile) ±2.3244

June Spread (Stable) ±0.6873

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.6145 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6145

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 55.5236) against the same month in 2013 (average: 53.1492), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3744 (+4.47%).

2014 Avg (May) 55.5236

2013 Avg (May) 53.1492

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	54.7431	53.0529	53.6325
February	54.5974	53.3697	54.1416
March	55.2480	54.0466	54.7842
April	55.8995	54.4661	55.2915
May	56.1260	55.0532	55.5236
June	55.6347	54.9475	55.3463
July	55.8038	54.1254	54.8893
August	54.3057	53.2899	53.8249
September	53.4663	51.1419	52.2104
October	51.7373	50.5950	51.2488
November	50.9148	49.8425	50.2874
December	50.1021	48.3271	49.2261