YEARLY HIGH
48.0119 DJF
YEARLY LOW
42.9157 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
45.1407 DJF

2018 RON to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RON to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 48.0119. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 42.9157.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.0963 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 46.8736 to the December average rate of 43.5609, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 48.0119 was up 2.65% compared to the 2017 peak of 46.7741, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 240,060 DJF
2017 Average 221,049 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 214,578 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,481.30 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

47.4643
43.0486
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 46.2042, compared to 44.0771 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1271 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 46.2042
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 44.0771

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 1.7101 DJF (High: 47.6445 / Low: 45.9344). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6768 DJF (High: 45.1100 / Low: 44.4333).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.7101
July Spread (Stable) ±0.6768

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.3510 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3510

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 47.0963) against the same month in 2017 (average: 42.1779), the exchange rate shifted by +4.9184 (+11.66%).

2018 Avg (February) 47.0963
2017 Avg (February) 42.1779

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 47.6445 45.9344 46.8736
February 48.0119 46.3401 47.0963
March 47.4008 46.4755 46.8458
April 47.2343 45.8515 46.5931
May 45.9022 44.1983 45.2421
June 45.0860 44.1179 44.5744
July 45.1100 44.4333 44.7452
August 44.9792 43.2898 44.2414
September 45.0540 44.3495 44.6746
October 44.2348 43.1819 43.8240
November 43.6821 42.9157 43.4165
December 44.0134 43.1824 43.5609