YEARLY HIGH
40.4541 DJF
YEARLY LOW
37.4476 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
38.8875 DJF

2023 RON to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the RON to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 14, valuing the pair at 40.4541. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 3, dropping to 37.4476.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0064 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.9171 to the December average rate of 39.1320, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 40.4541 was down 1.95% compared to the 2022 peak of 41.2583, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 202,270 DJF
2022 Average 190,217 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 187,238 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,032.16 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

39.9546
37.6371
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 38.9530, compared to 38.8219 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1310 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 38.9530
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.8219

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was January, with a trading range of 1.8363 DJF (High: 39.7119 / Low: 37.8756). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7168 DJF (High: 38.1645 / Low: 37.4476).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.8363
October Spread (Stable) ±0.7168

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.9992 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9992

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2023: 39.7615) against the same month in 2022 (average: 36.7315), the exchange rate shifted by +3.0300 (+8.25%).

2023 Avg (July) 39.7615
2022 Avg (July) 36.7315

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 39.7119 37.8756 38.9171
February 39.8561 38.0853 38.8041
March 39.2923 38.0390 38.6120
April 39.8089 38.8423 39.4415
May 39.9224 38.3407 39.0439
June 39.4174 38.3512 38.8994
July 40.4541 38.9100 39.7615
August 39.7403 38.9078 39.2700
September 38.8008 37.6227 38.2708
October 38.1645 37.4476 37.8302
November 39.3970 37.9340 38.6672
December 39.7720 38.5517 39.1320