YEARLY HIGH
5.7068 HNL
YEARLY LOW
5.0459 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4178 HNL

2015 RON to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the RON to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 24, valuing the pair at 5.7068. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 11, dropping to 5.0459.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6609 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.4606 to the December average rate of 5.2922, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.7068 was down 12.72% compared to the 2014 peak of 6.5385, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,534 HNL
2014 Average 30,488 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 25,230 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,304.27 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.6053
5.1871
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.3940, compared to 5.4416 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0476 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.3940
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4416

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was April, with a trading range of 0.4132 HNL (High: 5.5575 / Low: 5.1443). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1318 HNL (High: 5.4809 / Low: 5.3491).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.4132
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1318

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2697 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2697

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2015: 5.5164) against the same month in 2014 (average: 6.3236), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8071 (-12.76%).

2015 Avg (August) 5.5164
2014 Avg (August) 6.3236

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6727 5.2652 5.4606
February 5.4811 5.3111 5.4105
March 5.3491 5.0459 5.2220
April 5.5575 5.1443 5.2757
May 5.6641 5.3686 5.5120
June 5.5408 5.3863 5.4833
July 5.4809 5.3491 5.4120
August 5.7068 5.4182 5.5164
September 5.6416 5.4856 5.5577
October 5.6970 5.4292 5.5704
November 5.4697 5.1978 5.3007
December 5.3618 5.2087 5.2922