YEARLY HIGH
6.0342 HNL
YEARLY LOW
3.4418 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7924 HNL

2019 RON to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RON to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 6.0342. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 9, dropping to 3.4418.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5924 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.9291 to the December average rate of 5.6737, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6.0342 was down 5.06% compared to the 2018 peak of 6.3559, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,171 HNL
2018 Average 30,332 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 17,209 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,961.80 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5.9546
5.6481
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.8386, compared to 5.7462 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0925 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.8386
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.7462

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 2.3624 HNL (High: 5.8042 / Low: 3.4418). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0847 HNL (High: 5.8988 / Low: 5.8141).

December Spread (Volatile) ±2.3624
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0847

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0763 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0763

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 5.9291) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6.1979), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2688 (-4.34%).

2019 Avg (January) 5.9291
2018 Avg (January) 6.1979

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0342 5.8010 5.9291
February 5.8988 5.8141 5.8528
March 5.8880 5.7729 5.8250
April 5.8253 5.7226 5.7907
May 5.8182 5.5238 5.7296
June 6.0185 5.7325 5.9043
July 5.9087 5.7300 5.8416
August 5.8527 5.6892 5.7820
September 5.7754 5.6606 5.7172
October 5.8060 5.6528 5.7440
November 5.7926 5.6572 5.7185
December 5.8042 3.4418 5.6737