YEARLY HIGH
5.8066 HNL
YEARLY LOW
5.3274 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6113 HNL

2016 RON to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RON to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 23, valuing the pair at 5.8066. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 5.3274.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4792 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3782 to the December average rate of 5.4412, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.17% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.8066 was up 1.75% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.7068, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,033 HNL
2015 Average 27,090 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 26,637 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,395.92 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.7951
5.3404
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.6072, compared to 5.6154 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0082 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.6072
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6154

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.2998 HNL (High: 5.6986 / Low: 5.3988). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0643 HNL (High: 5.7922 / Low: 5.7279).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2998
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0643

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1423 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1423

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 5.7438) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.5164), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2274 (+4.12%).

2016 Avg (August) 5.7438
2015 Avg (August) 5.5164

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4118 5.3274 5.3782
February 5.6986 5.3988 5.5920
March 5.7442 5.5094 5.6359
April 5.7642 5.6605 5.7226
May 5.7996 5.5770 5.6722
June 5.7371 5.5385 5.6421
July 5.6927 5.5729 5.6219
August 5.8066 5.6894 5.7438
September 5.7922 5.7279 5.7572
October 5.7940 5.5071 5.6149
November 5.6832 5.4161 5.5133
December 5.5454 5.3561 5.4412