YEARLY HIGH
5.6151 HNL
YEARLY LOW
5.2214 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.3928 HNL

2023 RON to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the RON to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 5.6151. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 14, dropping to 5.2214.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3936 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.4004 to the December average rate of 5.4300, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 5.6151 was down 1.41% compared to the 2022 peak of 5.6954, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,075 HNL
2022 Average 26,290 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 26,107 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,968.12 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

5.5372
5.2281
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.3980, compared to 5.3877 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0103 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.3980
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.3877

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was February, with a trading range of 0.2502 HNL (High: 5.5330 / Low: 5.2829). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0839 HNL (High: 5.3053 / Low: 5.2214).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2502
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0839

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1085 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1085

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2023: 5.5114) against the same month in 2022 (average: 5.0724), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4390 (+8.66%).

2023 Avg (July) 5.5114
2022 Avg (July) 5.0724

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5148 5.2683 5.4004
February 5.5330 5.2829 5.3746
March 5.4498 5.2693 5.3535
April 5.5093 5.3815 5.4589
May 5.5323 5.3047 5.4065
June 5.4705 5.3178 5.3940
July 5.6151 5.3793 5.5114
August 5.4958 5.3851 5.4342
September 5.3906 5.2364 5.3257
October 5.3053 5.2214 5.2538
November 5.4776 5.2672 5.3708
December 5.5177 5.3479 5.4300