YEARLY HIGH
4.5212 MDL
YEARLY LOW
4.0358 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2641 MDL

2018 RON to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RON to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 4.5212. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 15, dropping to 4.0358.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4854 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4451 to the December average rate of 4.2023, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.5212 was down 5.79% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.7991, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,606 MDL
2017 Average 22,764 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 20,179 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,427.11 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.4764
4.1018
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3427, compared to 4.1855 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1572 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3427
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1855

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1983 MDL (High: 4.2340 / Low: 4.0358). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0738 MDL (High: 4.3706 / Low: 4.2968).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1983
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0738

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0851 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0851

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 4.4225) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.7010), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2785 (-5.92%).

2018 Avg (February) 4.4225
2017 Avg (February) 4.7010

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5008 4.3925 4.4451
February 4.5212 4.3662 4.4225
March 4.4454 4.3330 4.3838
April 4.3706 4.2968 4.3326
May 4.3018 4.2029 4.2475
June 4.2592 4.1629 4.2245
July 4.2436 4.1630 4.2015
August 4.2340 4.0358 4.1330
September 4.2625 4.1691 4.2162
October 4.2335 4.1466 4.1870
November 4.2105 4.1142 4.1731
December 4.2643 4.1551 4.2023