YEARLY HIGH
3.9956 MDL
YEARLY LOW
3.7915 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8816 MDL

2026 RON to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the RON to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 31, valuing the pair at 3.9956. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 6, dropping to 3.7915.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2042 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8880 to the December average rate of 3.8357, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 3.9956 was down 1.15% compared to the 2025 peak of 4.0423, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,978 MDL
2025 Average 19,377 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 18,957 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,020.80 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

3.9741
3.8141
JanuMarcMayJuly

RON to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8974, compared to 3.8343 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0630 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8974
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8343

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.1357 MDL (High: 3.9619 / Low: 3.8262). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 MDL (High: 3.8357 / Low: 3.8357).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1357
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1242 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1242

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 3.9369) against the same month in 2025 (average: 3.9131), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0238 (+0.61%).

2026 Avg (March) 3.9369
2025 Avg (March) 3.9131

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.9619 3.8262 3.8880
February 3.9722 3.8898 3.9345
March 3.9956 3.8766 3.9369
April 3.9952 3.9257 3.9608
May 3.8642 3.8222 3.8366
June 3.8569 3.7915 3.8275
July 3.8536 3.8039 3.8330
August 3.8357 3.8357 3.8357