YEARLY HIGH
4.2133 MDL
YEARLY LOW
3.8099 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9577 MDL

2023 RON to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the RON to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 4.2133. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 14, dropping to 3.8099.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4034 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1576 to the December average rate of 3.8682, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 4.2133 was up 0.49% compared to the 2022 peak of 4.1928, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,066 MDL
2022 Average 20,140 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 19,050 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,016.97 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

4.1877
3.8264
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0187, compared to 3.8968 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1219 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0187
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8968

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was July, with a trading range of 0.2149 MDL (High: 4.1132 / Low: 3.8983). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0584 MDL (High: 3.8867 / Low: 3.8284).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.2149
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0584

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1046 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1046

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2023: 4.0924) against the same month in 2022 (average: 4.1049), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0125 (-0.30%).

2023 Avg (February) 4.0924
2022 Avg (February) 4.1049

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.2033 4.0946 4.1576
February 4.2133 4.0288 4.0924
March 4.0990 3.9975 4.0438
April 4.0591 3.9551 4.0051
May 4.0216 3.8228 3.9005
June 4.0264 3.8277 3.9124
July 4.1132 3.8983 4.0050
August 3.9611 3.8633 3.9023
September 3.8867 3.8284 3.8641
October 3.9035 3.8099 3.8565
November 3.9351 3.8238 3.8848
December 3.9221 3.8219 3.8682