YEARLY HIGH
4.3560 SCR
YEARLY LOW
3.5190 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9631 SCR

2012 RON to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RON to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 23, valuing the pair at 4.3560. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 10, dropping to 3.5190.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8370 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1266 to the December average rate of 3.8318, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 4.3560 was down 4.07% compared to the 2011 peak of 4.5409, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,780 SCR
2011 Average 20,449 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 17,595 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,184.99 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

4.3262
3.5742
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1665, compared to 3.7597 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4068 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1665
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.7597

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.4174 SCR (High: 4.1099 / Low: 3.6925). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0832 SCR (High: 3.7630 / Low: 3.6798).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.4174
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0832

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.2877 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2877

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 4.2582) against the same month in 2011 (average: 3.9598), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2984 (+7.54%).

2012 Avg (February) 4.2582
2011 Avg (February) 3.9598

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3098 3.9213 4.1266
February 4.3560 4.1746 4.2582
March 4.3536 4.1318 4.2635
April 4.3536 4.1295 4.2171
May 4.2482 3.9736 4.0786
June 4.1333 3.9441 4.0552
July 4.1099 3.6925 3.9245
August 3.7588 3.5190 3.6369
September 3.7959 3.6274 3.7186
October 3.7630 3.6798 3.7268
November 3.7923 3.6570 3.7198
December 3.9259 3.7239 3.8318