YEARLY HIGH
3.3748 SCR
YEARLY LOW
2.9430 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.2270 SCR

2019 RON to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RON to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 3.3748. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 11, dropping to 2.9430.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4318 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.3126 to the December average rate of 3.1856, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.3748 was down 10.40% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.7667, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,874 SCR
2018 Average 17,280 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 14,715 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,159.10 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.3267
3.1580
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2588, compared to 3.1953 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0635 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2588
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1953

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.3304 SCR (High: 3.2733 / Low: 2.9430). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0368 SCR (High: 3.2291 / Low: 3.1924).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3304
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0368

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0457 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0457

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 3.3126) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.6492), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3366 (-9.22%).

2019 Avg (January) 3.3126
2018 Avg (January) 3.6492

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3748 3.2383 3.3126
February 3.3022 3.2446 3.2683
March 3.3129 3.2107 3.2533
April 3.2630 3.2048 3.2347
May 3.2291 3.1924 3.2157
June 3.2988 3.2079 3.2681
July 3.3025 3.2031 3.2437
August 3.2733 2.9430 3.1981
September 3.2144 3.1502 3.1816
October 3.2245 3.1553 3.1905
November 3.2532 3.0324 3.1720
December 3.2125 3.1534 3.1856