YEARLY HIGH
3.7667 SCR
YEARLY LOW
3.2877 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4568 SCR

2018 RON to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RON to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 3.7667. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 3.2877.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4790 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6492 to the December average rate of 3.3461, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.7667 was up 4.19% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.6152, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,833 SCR
2017 Average 16,799 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 16,439 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,394.89 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.6812
3.2975
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5397, compared to 3.3739 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1659 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5397
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3739

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.2811 SCR (High: 3.6217 / Low: 3.3406). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0594 SCR (High: 3.4393 / Low: 3.3799).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2811
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0594

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1131 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1131

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 3.6110) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.1706), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4404 (+13.89%).

2018 Avg (February) 3.6110
2017 Avg (February) 3.1706

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7428 3.5629 3.6492
February 3.7667 3.5383 3.6110
March 3.7540 3.5379 3.6100
April 3.6718 3.4868 3.5492
May 3.6217 3.3406 3.4361
June 3.4289 3.3585 3.3830
July 3.4393 3.3799 3.4060
August 3.4378 3.3046 3.3772
September 3.5821 3.3889 3.4246
October 3.4226 3.3088 3.3597
November 3.3534 3.2877 3.3295
December 3.4251 3.3100 3.3461