YEARLY HIGH
10.1006 CDF
YEARLY LOW
7.9395 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.6971 CDF

2016 RSD to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 10.1006. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 17, dropping to 7.9395.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1611 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.2148 to the December average rate of 9.9532, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 10.1006 was up 9.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 9.2404, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 50,503 CDF
2015 Average 42,598 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 39,698 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,805.27 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

10.1270
8.0410
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.4419, compared to 8.9524 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5105 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.4419
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.9524

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 1.9071 CDF (High: 9.8466 / Low: 7.9395). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1327 CDF (High: 8.9455 / Low: 8.8128).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.9071
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1327

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1734 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1734

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 9.9532) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.2912), the exchange rate shifted by +1.6620 (+20.04%).

2016 Avg (December) 9.9532
2015 Avg (December) 8.2912

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.2824 8.1495 8.2148
February 8.5470 8.1926 8.3948
March 8.5765 8.1313 8.3823
April 8.6729 8.4800 8.5694
May 8.7121 8.3610 8.5318
June 8.8116 8.3209 8.5583
July 8.8461 8.4706 8.5450
August 9.0134 8.7532 8.8865
September 8.9455 8.8128 8.8849
October 8.9497 8.5269 8.7115
November 9.8466 7.9395 8.7332
December 10.1006 9.8104 9.9532