2018 RSD to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

17.0967 CDF

YEARLY LOW

15.4155 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

16.1775 CDF

2018 RSD to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 17.0967. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 26, dropping to 15.4155.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6811 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.4720 to the December average rate of 15.6380, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 17.0967 was up 4.95% compared to the 2017 peak of 16.2907, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 85,483 CDF

2017 Average 68,352 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 77,078 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,405.54 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

16.9991

15.4705

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.5076, compared to 15.8474 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6602 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.5076

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.8474

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 1.0348 CDF (High: 16.5013 / Low: 15.4665). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2941 CDF (High: 17.0548 / Low: 16.7607).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.0348

March Spread (Stable) ±0.2941

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.6148 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6148

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 16.8088) against the same month in 2017 (average: 10.9302), the exchange rate shifted by +5.8787 (+53.78%).

2018 Avg (February) 16.8088

2017 Avg (February) 10.9302

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	16.7986	15.8791	16.4720
February	17.0967	16.5116	16.8088
March	17.0548	16.7607	16.8717
April	16.9305	16.4965	16.7703
May	16.5006	15.7747	16.1555
June	16.1377	15.8034	15.9674
July	16.5013	15.4665	16.0524
August	16.2612	15.6267	15.8958
September	16.3491	15.9536	16.1084
October	16.0106	15.4689	15.7921
November	15.8346	15.4155	15.5979
December	15.8677	15.4201	15.6380