YEARLY HIGH
3.5786 MRO
YEARLY LOW
2.9148 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.3147 MRO

2014 RSD to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RSD to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 30, valuing the pair at 3.5786. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 2.9148.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6638 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4323 to the December average rate of 2.9468, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 3.5786 was down 3.33% compared to the 2013 peak of 3.7020, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,893 MRO
2013 Average 17,249 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 14,574 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,319.11 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

3.5854
2.8887
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4685, compared to 3.1608 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3077 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4685
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1608

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.1362 MRO (High: 3.2458 / Low: 3.1097). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0432 MRO (High: 3.4666 / Low: 3.4234).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1362
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0432

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1450 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1450

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2014: 3.4945) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3.3534), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1411 (+4.21%).

2014 Avg (March) 3.4945
2013 Avg (March) 3.3534

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.4922 3.3921 3.4323
February 3.4578 3.3875 3.4281
March 3.5786 3.4476 3.4945
April 3.5753 3.4674 3.5274
May 3.5477 3.4298 3.4883
June 3.4666 3.4234 3.4405
July 3.4424 3.3488 3.3984
August 3.3472 3.2474 3.3129
September 3.2458 3.1097 3.1679
October 3.1391 3.0684 3.1030
November 3.0998 2.9963 3.0358
December 2.9944 2.9148 2.9468