YEARLY HIGH
3.7609 MRO
YEARLY LOW
2.0159 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5504 MRO

2018 RSD to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 3.7609. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 8, dropping to 2.0159.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7450 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6507 to the December average rate of 3.4341, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.7609 was up 1.91% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.6903, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,805 MRO
2017 Average 16,784 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 10,079 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,725.07 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.7448
3.3353
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6400, compared to 3.4608 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1792 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.6400
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4608

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 1.4827 MRO (High: 3.4986 / Low: 2.0159). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0420 MRO (High: 3.5502 / Low: 3.5082).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.4827
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0420

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1485 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1485

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 3.7088) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.0831), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6257 (+20.29%).

2018 Avg (February) 3.7088
2017 Avg (February) 3.0831

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7227 3.5568 3.6507
February 3.7609 3.6635 3.7088
March 3.7454 3.6808 3.7107
April 3.7376 3.6443 3.6920
May 3.6380 3.4780 3.5593
June 3.5580 3.4851 3.5182
July 3.5502 3.5082 3.5274
August 3.5340 3.4371 3.4849
September 3.5608 3.4858 3.5180
October 3.4986 2.0159 3.3694
November 3.4563 3.4062 3.4308
December 3.4603 3.4070 3.4341