YEARLY HIGH
3.4837 MRO
YEARLY LOW
3.3177 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.3924 MRO

2019 RSD to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RSD to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 3.4837. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 3.3177.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1660 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4442 to the December average rate of 3.3751, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.4837 was down 7.37% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.7609, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,418 MRO
2018 Average 17,746 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 16,588 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 829.94 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.4542
3.3347
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4163, compared to 3.3686 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0478 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4163
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3686

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0758 MRO (High: 3.4094 / Low: 3.3335). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0328 MRO (High: 3.4008 / Low: 3.3679).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0758
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0328

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0288 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0288

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 3.4442) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.6507), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2065 (-5.66%).

2019 Avg (January) 3.4442
2018 Avg (January) 3.6507

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.4837 3.4098 3.4442
February 3.4543 3.4038 3.4280
March 3.4601 3.3849 3.4186
April 3.4242 3.3708 3.3995
May 3.4008 3.3679 3.3867
June 3.4523 3.3820 3.4210
July 3.4235 3.3575 3.4002
August 3.4094 3.3335 3.3734
September 3.3741 3.3177 3.3446
October 3.3908 3.3211 3.3598
November 3.3955 3.3404 3.3582
December 3.4063 3.3452 3.3751