YEARLY HIGH
3.2871 MRO
YEARLY LOW
2.7251 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.1572 MRO

2016 RSD to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 6, valuing the pair at 3.2871. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 2.7251.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5620 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9657 to the December average rate of 3.0603, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.19% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.2871 was up 7.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.0461, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,435 MRO
2015 Average 14,224 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 13,625 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,810.15 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.2691
2.9382
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.1388, compared to 3.1756 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0368 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.1388
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1756

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.3262 MRO (High: 3.0513 / Low: 2.7251). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0330 MRO (High: 3.2534 / Low: 3.2204).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3262
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0330

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0763 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0763

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 3.2415) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.9817), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2598 (+8.71%).

2016 Avg (June) 3.2415
2015 Avg (June) 2.9817

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0513 2.7251 2.9657
February 3.1556 3.0210 3.0913
March 3.1754 3.0263 3.1082
April 3.2377 3.1598 3.1915
May 3.2814 3.1978 3.2342
June 3.2871 3.1721 3.2415
July 3.2131 3.1589 3.1876
August 3.2749 3.2000 3.2334
September 3.2534 3.2204 3.2385
October 3.2480 3.1591 3.1972
November 3.2329 3.0633 3.1366
December 3.1181 3.0126 3.0603