YEARLY HIGH
0.0288 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.0238 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0264 BAM

2018 RUB to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 0.0288. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 9, dropping to 0.0238.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0050 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0283 to the December average rate of 0.0254, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0288 was down 12.35% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0329, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 144 BAM
2017 Average 149 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 119 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 24.86 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0287
0.0244
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0272, compared to 0.0256 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0016 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0272
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0256

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.0026 BAM (High: 0.0278 / Low: 0.0252). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 BAM (High: 0.0270 / Low: 0.0263).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0026
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0016 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0016

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.0283) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0307), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0024 (-7.86%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.0283
2017 Avg (January) 0.0307

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0288 0.0279 0.0283
February 0.0285 0.0274 0.0278
March 0.0283 0.0273 0.0278
April 0.0278 0.0252 0.0262
May 0.0272 0.0255 0.0265
June 0.0270 0.0263 0.0267
July 0.0271 0.0261 0.0266
August 0.0267 0.0245 0.0255
September 0.0257 0.0238 0.0248
October 0.0263 0.0252 0.0258
November 0.0262 0.0249 0.0258
December 0.0260 0.0245 0.0254