2012 RUB to BTN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8089 BTN

YEARLY LOW

1.5760 BTN

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6965 BTN

2012 RUB to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RUB to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 3, valuing the pair at 1.8089. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 1.5760.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2329 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6328 to the December average rate of 1.7794, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.98% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.8089 was up 6.53% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.6979, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,044 BTN

2011 Average 7,932 BTN

Yearly Trough Low 7,880 BTN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,164.46 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.7963

1.5931

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7032, compared to 1.6898 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0134 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7032

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6898

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 0.1475 BTN (High: 1.7358 / Low: 1.5883). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0358 BTN (High: 1.6231 / Low: 1.5873).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1475

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0358

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0611 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0611

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2012: 1.7628) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.6075), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1553 (+9.66%).

2012 Avg (May) 1.7628

2011 Avg (May) 1.6075

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6771	1.6011	1.6328
February	1.7207	1.6108	1.6518
March	1.7696	1.6860	1.7161
April	1.7949	1.7239	1.7540
May	1.8089	1.6842	1.7628
June	1.7340	1.6458	1.7016
July	1.7031	1.5760	1.6464
August	1.6231	1.5873	1.6101
September	1.7358	1.5883	1.6538
October	1.7420	1.6008	1.7028
November	1.7943	1.7086	1.7463
December	1.8049	1.7570	1.7794