2015 RUB to BTN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2905 BTN

YEARLY LOW

0.8864 BTN

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0564 BTN

2015 RUB to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the RUB to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 18, valuing the pair at 1.2905. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.8864.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4040 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9732 to the December average rate of 0.9508, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.2905 was down 31.42% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.8817, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,452 BTN

2014 Average 8,075 BTN

Yearly Trough Low 4,432 BTN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,020.03 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.2868

0.9202

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0976, compared to 1.0153 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0823 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0976

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0153

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.1869 BTN (High: 1.0757 / Low: 0.8888). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0460 BTN (High: 1.0151 / Low: 0.9691).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1869

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0460

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1153 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1153

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2015: 1.2563) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.7013), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4450 (-26.16%).

2015 Avg (May) 1.2563

2014 Avg (May) 1.7013

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0757	0.8888	0.9732
February	1.0120	0.8864	0.9662
March	1.0922	0.9925	1.0388
April	1.2506	1.0844	1.1848
May	1.2905	1.2162	1.2563
June	1.2061	1.1323	1.1660
July	1.1451	1.0470	1.1101
August	1.0426	0.9419	0.9948
September	1.0151	0.9691	0.9902
October	1.0568	0.9909	1.0312
November	1.0430	0.9838	1.0147
December	0.9998	0.9050	0.9508