2014 RUB to BTN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8817 BTN

YEARLY LOW

0.9248 BTN

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6159 BTN

2014 RUB to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RUB to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 1.8817. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 0.9248.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9569 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8421 to the December average rate of 1.1203, the exchange rate registered a net change of -39.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.8817 was down 7.84% compared to the 2013 peak of 2.0419, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,409 BTN

2013 Average 9,182 BTN

Yearly Trough Low 4,624 BTN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,784.66 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.9143

1.0481

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7374, compared to 1.4943 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2431 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7374

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4943

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.3099 BTN (High: 1.2347 / Low: 0.9248). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0380 BTN (High: 1.7177 / Low: 1.6797).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.3099

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0380

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2115 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2115

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 1.8421) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.7967), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0454 (+2.53%).

2014 Avg (January) 1.8421

2013 Avg (January) 1.7967

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8817	1.7830	1.8421
February	1.7984	1.7197	1.7654
March	1.7199	1.6707	1.6865
April	1.7078	1.6651	1.6915
May	1.7177	1.6797	1.7013
June	1.7844	1.6898	1.7379
July	1.7643	1.6871	1.7291
August	1.7096	1.6346	1.6822
September	1.6368	1.5590	1.6007
October	1.5569	1.4250	1.5020
November	1.4268	1.2418	1.3318
December	1.2347	0.9248	1.1203