2016 RUB to BTN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1269 BTN

YEARLY LOW

0.8270 BTN

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0073 BTN

2016 RUB to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 1.1269. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 0.8270.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2999 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8793 to the December average rate of 1.0943, the exchange rate registered a net change of 24.46% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.1269 was down 12.67% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.2905, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,635 BTN

2015 Average 5,284 BTN

Yearly Trough Low 4,135 BTN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,499.67 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.1158

0.8578

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9616, compared to 1.0530 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0914 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9616

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0530

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0833 BTN (High: 0.9103 / Low: 0.8270). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0188 BTN (High: 1.0744 / Low: 1.0556).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0833

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0188

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0187 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0187

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.0943) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.9508), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1435 (+15.10%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.0943

2015 Avg (December) 0.9508

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9103	0.8270	0.8793
February	0.9094	0.8557	0.8842
March	0.9869	0.9208	0.9585
April	1.0256	0.9678	0.9985
May	1.0289	0.9987	1.0151
June	1.0596	1.0062	1.0342
July	1.0670	1.0086	1.0445
August	1.0495	1.0000	1.0317
September	1.0608	1.0182	1.0354
October	1.0744	1.0556	1.0654
November	1.0681	1.0173	1.0467
December	1.1269	1.0632	1.0943