2011 SCR to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4964 EGP

YEARLY LOW

0.4353 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4778 EGP

2011 SCR to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 7, valuing the pair at 0.4964. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 22, dropping to 0.4353.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0611 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4680 to the December average rate of 0.4514, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.4964 was down 0.74% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.5001, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,482 EGP

2010 Average 2,322 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 2,177 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 305.28 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.4909

0.4478

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4798, compared to 0.4758 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4798

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4758

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 0.0314 EGP (High: 0.4667 / Low: 0.4353). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0141 EGP (High: 0.4853 / Low: 0.4713).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0314

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0141

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0175 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0175

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 0.4847) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.4530), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0317 (+6.99%).

2011 Avg (September) 0.4847

2010 Avg (September) 0.4530

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4777	0.4601	0.4680
February	0.4853	0.4713	0.4773
March	0.4918	0.4706	0.4814
April	0.4922	0.4770	0.4864
May	0.4905	0.4753	0.4807
June	0.4943	0.4760	0.4849
July	0.4948	0.4754	0.4873
August	0.4956	0.4749	0.4862
September	0.4964	0.4761	0.4847
October	0.4837	0.4642	0.4761
November	0.4769	0.4576	0.4689
December	0.4667	0.4353	0.4514