2016 SCR to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.4517 EGP

YEARLY LOW

0.5461 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7543 EGP

2016 SCR to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 1.4517. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 0.5461.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9055 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5988 to the December average rate of 1.3750, the exchange rate registered a net change of 129.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.4517 was up 124.99% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6452, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,258 EGP

2015 Average 2,901 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 2,731 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,527.69 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.4540

0.5061

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6370, compared to 0.8716 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2346 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6370

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8716

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.6816 EGP (High: 1.3466 / Low: 0.6651). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0134 EGP (High: 0.6770 / Low: 0.6636).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.6816

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0134

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0137 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0137

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.3750) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6131), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7619 (+124.28%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.3750

2015 Avg (December) 0.6131

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6103	0.5734	0.5988
February	0.6103	0.5461	0.5851
March	0.6749	0.5821	0.6325
April	0.6952	0.6297	0.6610
May	0.6812	0.6410	0.6664
June	0.6987	0.6631	0.6780
July	0.6963	0.6594	0.6748
August	0.6799	0.6595	0.6707
September	0.6770	0.6636	0.6698
October	0.6807	0.6623	0.6700
November	1.3466	0.6651	1.1690
December	1.4517	1.3227	1.3750