2018 SCR to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3329 EGP

YEARLY LOW

1.2485 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.3078 EGP

2018 SCR to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 22, valuing the pair at 1.3329. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 1.2485.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0844 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2725 to the December average rate of 1.3098, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.3329 was down 8.10% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.4504, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,664 EGP

2017 Average 6,568 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 6,242 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 422.00 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.3272

1.2675

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3025, compared to 1.3131 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0105 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3025

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3131

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.0711 EGP (High: 1.3313 / Low: 1.2602). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0106 EGP (High: 1.3183 / Low: 1.3077).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0711

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0106

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0060 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0060

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 1.3189) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.3357), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0169 (-1.26%).

2018 Avg (May) 1.3189

2017 Avg (May) 1.3357

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2989	1.2525	1.2725
February	1.3313	1.2602	1.2981
March	1.3102	1.2503	1.2921
April	1.3196	1.2868	1.3114
May	1.3329	1.2705	1.3189
June	1.3305	1.3155	1.3222
July	1.3234	1.3110	1.3204
August	1.3183	1.3077	1.3151
September	1.3187	1.2485	1.3103
October	1.3175	1.2880	1.3119
November	1.3163	1.2999	1.3109
December	1.3170	1.2830	1.3098