2011 SCR to HNL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.5694 HNL

YEARLY LOW

1.3728 HNL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5200 HNL

2011 SCR to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 15, valuing the pair at 1.5694. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 1.3728.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1966 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5231 to the December average rate of 1.4215, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.5694 was down 9.35% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.7312, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,847 HNL

2010 Average 7,801 HNL

Yearly Trough Low 6,864 HNL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 982.99 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.5588

1.4090

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5348, compared to 1.5053 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0295 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5348

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5053

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 0.0994 HNL (High: 1.4723 / Low: 1.3728). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0435 HNL (High: 1.5594 / Low: 1.5159).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0994

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0435

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0628 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0628

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2011: 1.5463) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.5081), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0382 (+2.53%).

2011 Avg (July) 1.5463

2010 Avg (July) 1.5081

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5556	1.4987	1.5231
February	1.5621	1.5159	1.5357
March	1.5618	1.5016	1.5363
April	1.5662	1.5162	1.5446
May	1.5594	1.5159	1.5279
June	1.5685	1.5168	1.5414
July	1.5694	1.5077	1.5463
August	1.5631	1.5034	1.5352
September	1.5644	1.5092	1.5338
October	1.5341	1.4755	1.5105
November	1.5147	1.4457	1.4843
December	1.4723	1.3728	1.4215