2016 SCR to HNL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8003 HNL

YEARLY LOW

1.5753 HNL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7158 HNL

2016 SCR to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 1.8003. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 1.5753.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2250 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7154 to the December average rate of 1.7424, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.8003 was down 0.30% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.8057, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,001 HNL

2015 Average 8,163 HNL

Yearly Trough Low 7,876 HNL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,124.87 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.7485

1.6743

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7022, compared to 1.7295 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0273 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7022

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7295

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.1831 HNL (High: 1.7583 / Low: 1.5753). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0421 HNL (High: 1.7444 / Low: 1.7023).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1831

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0421

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0290 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0290

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 1.7340) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6491), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0849 (+5.15%).

2016 Avg (June) 1.7340

2015 Avg (June) 1.6491

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7520	1.6478	1.7154
February	1.7583	1.5753	1.6864
March	1.7458	1.6644	1.7012
April	1.7658	1.5980	1.6805
May	1.7359	1.6326	1.6956
June	1.8003	1.6969	1.7340
July	1.7965	1.6883	1.7312
August	1.7486	1.6948	1.7270
September	1.7444	1.7023	1.7243
October	1.7540	1.7004	1.7256
November	1.7558	1.6964	1.7266
December	1.7805	1.7205	1.7424