2016 SCR to RON Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3309 RON

YEARLY LOW

0.2771 RON

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3060 RON

2016 SCR to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.3309. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 0.2771.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0538 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3189 to the December average rate of 0.3202, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.41% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3309 was down 3.64% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3434, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,655 RON

2015 Average 1,507 RON

Yearly Trough Low 1,386 RON

Transaction Impact: A difference of 269.01 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3229

0.2910

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3037, compared to 0.3082 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0044 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3037

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3082

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0368 RON (High: 0.3139 / Low: 0.2771). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0076 RON (High: 0.3038 / Low: 0.2962).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0368

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0076

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0173 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0173

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.3202) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3238), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0036 (-1.10%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.3202

2015 Avg (December) 0.3238

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3247	0.3065	0.3189
February	0.3139	0.2771	0.3016
March	0.3093	0.2898	0.3019
April	0.3119	0.2806	0.2937
May	0.3108	0.2852	0.2990
June	0.3239	0.2982	0.3074
July	0.3180	0.2989	0.3080
August	0.3070	0.2951	0.3007
September	0.3038	0.2962	0.2995
October	0.3150	0.2968	0.3074
November	0.3227	0.3026	0.3133
December	0.3309	0.3122	0.3202