YEARLY HIGH
0.3042 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.2655 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2896 RON

2018 SCR to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 0.3042. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.2655.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0387 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2741 to the December average rate of 0.2989, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.3042 was down 8.52% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.3325, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,521 RON
2017 Average 1,492 RON
Yearly Trough Low 1,327 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 193.39 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3030
0.2714
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2828, compared to 0.2964 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0137 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2828
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2964

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0232 RON (High: 0.2993 / Low: 0.2761). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0051 RON (High: 0.2959 / Low: 0.2908).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0232
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0051

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0041 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0041

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.3004) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2854), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0149 (+5.23%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.3004
2017 Avg (November) 0.2854

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2807 0.2672 0.2741
February 0.2826 0.2655 0.2770
March 0.2827 0.2664 0.2771
April 0.2868 0.2723 0.2818
May 0.2993 0.2761 0.2911
June 0.2978 0.2916 0.2956
July 0.2959 0.2908 0.2936
August 0.3026 0.2909 0.2961
September 0.2951 0.2792 0.2920
October 0.3022 0.2922 0.2977
November 0.3042 0.2982 0.3004
December 0.3021 0.2920 0.2989