YEARLY HIGH
0.3398 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.2963 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3100 RON

2019 SCR to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 0.3398. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 0.2963.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0435 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3019 to the December average rate of 0.3139, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.98% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.3398 was up 11.71% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.3042, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,699 RON
2018 Average 1,448 RON
Yearly Trough Low 1,482 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 217.39 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.3166
0.3006
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3069, compared to 0.3130 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0061 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3069
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3130

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0343 RON (High: 0.3398 / Low: 0.3055). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0036 RON (High: 0.3132 / Low: 0.3097).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0343
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0036

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0050 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0050

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 0.3128) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.2961), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0167 (+5.63%).

2019 Avg (August) 0.3128
2018 Avg (August) 0.2961

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3088 0.2963 0.3019
February 0.3082 0.3028 0.3060
March 0.3115 0.3018 0.3074
April 0.3120 0.3065 0.3092
May 0.3132 0.3097 0.3110
June 0.3117 0.3031 0.3060
July 0.3122 0.3028 0.3083
August 0.3398 0.3055 0.3128
September 0.3174 0.3111 0.3143
October 0.3169 0.3101 0.3134
November 0.3298 0.3074 0.3153
December 0.3171 0.3113 0.3139