YEARLY HIGH
0.4117 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.3520 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3885 TJS

2014 SCR to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 0.4117. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 30, dropping to 0.3520.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0597 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3956 to the December average rate of 0.3682, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.4117 was up 0.60% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.4092, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,058 TJS
2013 Average 1,973 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 1,760 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 298.49 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.4067
0.3523
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3985, compared to 0.3785 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0200 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3985
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3785

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.0322 TJS (High: 0.3909 / Low: 0.3586). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0038 TJS (High: 0.3975 / Low: 0.3937).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0322
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0038

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0148 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0148

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 0.4022) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.4038), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0016 (-0.40%).

2014 Avg (May) 0.4022
2013 Avg (May) 0.4038

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3975 0.3937 0.3956
February 0.3982 0.3918 0.3957
March 0.4003 0.3936 0.3958
April 0.4107 0.3921 0.4003
May 0.4117 0.3916 0.4022
June 0.4050 0.3978 0.4010
July 0.4037 0.3997 0.4020
August 0.4047 0.3833 0.3959
September 0.3838 0.3779 0.3812
October 0.3803 0.3520 0.3668
November 0.3594 0.3520 0.3569
December 0.3909 0.3586 0.3682