YEARLY HIGH
0.6964 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.6228 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6719 TJS

2018 SCR to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 19, valuing the pair at 0.6964. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 0.6228.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0736 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6340 to the December average rate of 0.6891, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6964 was up 2.13% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6819, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,482 TJS
2017 Average 3,164 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 3,114 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 368.01 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6986
0.6281
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6539, compared to 0.6898 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0359 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6539
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6898

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0367 TJS (High: 0.6936 / Low: 0.6569). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0036 TJS (High: 0.6942 / Low: 0.6906).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0367
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0036

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0024 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0024

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 0.6865) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6492), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0373 (+5.75%).

2018 Avg (July) 0.6865
2017 Avg (July) 0.6492

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6450 0.6228 0.6340
February 0.6651 0.6300 0.6481
March 0.6559 0.6260 0.6466
April 0.6613 0.6420 0.6572
May 0.6691 0.6378 0.6653
June 0.6772 0.6682 0.6723
July 0.6964 0.6772 0.6865
August 0.6942 0.6906 0.6928
September 0.6936 0.6569 0.6904
October 0.6929 0.6780 0.6902
November 0.6911 0.6839 0.6899
December 0.6913 0.6756 0.6891