YEARLY HIGH
0.7612 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.6751 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6965 TJS

2019 SCR to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 0.7612. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 0.6751.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0861 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6909 to the December average rate of 0.7070, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.33% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.7612 was up 9.31% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.6964, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,806 TJS
2018 Average 3,360 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 3,376 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 430.54 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.7098
0.6868
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6897, compared to 0.7033 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0136 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6897
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7033

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0851 TJS (High: 0.7612 / Low: 0.6762). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0015 TJS (High: 0.7079 / Low: 0.7064).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0851
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0015

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0011 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 0.7011) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.6928), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0084 (+1.21%).

2019 Avg (August) 0.7011
2018 Avg (August) 0.6928

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6923 0.6874 0.6909
February 0.6923 0.6837 0.6898
March 0.6910 0.6833 0.6888
April 0.6919 0.6782 0.6887
May 0.6928 0.6881 0.6899
June 0.6940 0.6863 0.6900
July 0.6941 0.6751 0.6900
August 0.7612 0.6762 0.7011
September 0.7118 0.7025 0.7073
October 0.7084 0.7048 0.7066
November 0.7482 0.6891 0.7079
December 0.7079 0.7064 0.7070