YEARLY HIGH
0.6228 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.5361 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5901 TJS

2016 SCR to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 0.6228. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 0.5361.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0867 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5644 to the December average rate of 0.5882, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6228 was up 11.79% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5571, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,114 TJS
2015 Average 2,319 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 2,681 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 433.47 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6048
0.5607
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5869, compared to 0.5932 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0063 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5869
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5932

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0660 TJS (High: 0.6136 / Low: 0.5476). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0112 TJS (High: 0.6004 / Low: 0.5892).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0660
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0112

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0063 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0063

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.6012) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4730), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1281 (+27.09%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.6012
2015 Avg (June) 0.4730

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5864 0.5361 0.5644
February 0.6136 0.5476 0.5870
March 0.6073 0.5799 0.5923
April 0.6159 0.5581 0.5859
May 0.6034 0.5693 0.5907
June 0.6228 0.5877 0.6012
July 0.6171 0.5843 0.5980
August 0.6024 0.5842 0.5945
September 0.6004 0.5892 0.5942
October 0.6042 0.5876 0.5942
November 0.5992 0.5831 0.5903
December 0.5993 0.5796 0.5882