YEARLY HIGH
0.1986 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.1791 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1892 BAM

2018 SVC to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SVC to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 13, valuing the pair at 0.1986. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 4, dropping to 0.1791.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0195 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1835 to the December average rate of 0.1964, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1986 was down 7.64% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2150, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 993 BAM
2017 Average 991 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 896 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 97.50 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1979
0.1794
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1847, compared to 0.1938 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0091 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1847
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1938

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0087 BAM (High: 0.1935 / Low: 0.1848). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 BAM (High: 0.1981 / Low: 0.1949).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0087
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0025 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0025

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.1962) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1905), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0057 (+2.99%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.1962
2017 Avg (November) 0.1905

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1874 0.1795 0.1835
February 0.1831 0.1791 0.1809
March 0.1835 0.1801 0.1813
April 0.1848 0.1806 0.1819
May 0.1935 0.1848 0.1889
June 0.1937 0.1890 0.1914
July 0.1927 0.1865 0.1908
August 0.1975 0.1903 0.1936
September 0.1933 0.1873 0.1912
October 0.1970 0.1903 0.1946
November 0.1986 0.1905 0.1962
December 0.1981 0.1949 0.1964