2012 SVC to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.1716 RSD

YEARLY LOW

9.1344 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.0453 RSD

2012 SVC to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SVC to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 11.1716. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 9.1344.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0372 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.2976 to the December average rate of 9.8797, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.26% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 11.1716 was up 18.97% compared to the 2011 peak of 9.3899, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 55,858 RSD

2011 Average 41,791 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 45,672 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,185.87 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

11.0294

9.1402

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.7592, compared to 10.3315 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5723 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.7592

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.3315

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 1.1865 RSD (High: 10.8320 / Low: 9.6455). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2131 RSD (High: 9.7049 / Low: 9.4919).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.1865

March Spread (Stable) ±0.2131

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.5436 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5436

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 10.8292) against the same month in 2011 (average: 8.1532), the exchange rate shifted by +2.6760 (+32.82%).

2012 Avg (July) 10.8292

2011 Avg (July) 8.1532

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	9.4278	9.1854	9.2976
February	9.4517	9.1344	9.3438
March	9.7049	9.4919	9.5783
April	9.7344	9.5205	9.6725
May	10.8320	9.6455	10.1250
June	10.8220	10.3432	10.5379
July	11.1716	10.4310	10.8292
August	11.0655	10.6976	10.8719
September	10.7654	10.0484	10.3283
October	10.2348	9.7431	10.0243
November	10.1365	9.8770	10.0556
December	10.0868	9.7553	9.8797