YEARLY HIGH
12.3224 RSD
YEARLY LOW
11.7060 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.0294 RSD

2019 SVC to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SVC to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 1, valuing the pair at 12.3224. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 11.7060.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6164 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.8476 to the December average rate of 12.0905, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 12.3224 was up 2.86% compared to the 2018 peak of 11.9795, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 61,612 RSD
2018 Average 57,270 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 58,530 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,081.76 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

12.2372
11.8122
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.9439, compared to 12.1149 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1710 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.9439
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.1149

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 0.2916 RSD (High: 12.3224 / Low: 12.0308). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1199 RSD (High: 12.1159 / Low: 11.9960).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2916
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1199

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1205 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1205

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2019: 12.1462) against the same month in 2018 (average: 11.7858), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3605 (+3.06%).

2019 Avg (October) 12.1462
2018 Avg (October) 11.7858

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.9674 11.7060 11.8476
February 11.9806 11.8077 11.9008
March 12.0545 11.7969 11.9380
April 12.1040 11.9206 12.0016
May 12.1159 11.9960 12.0480
June 12.0912 11.8227 11.9275
July 12.1499 11.8810 11.9971
August 12.2397 11.9692 12.1022
September 12.2910 12.1278 12.2018
October 12.3224 12.0308 12.1462
November 12.2109 12.0148 12.1518
December 12.2205 11.9796 12.0905