2018 SVC to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.9795 RSD

YEARLY LOW

10.8069 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.4505 RSD

2018 SVC to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SVC to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 27, valuing the pair at 11.9795. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 10.8069.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1726 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.1140 to the December average rate of 11.8811, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 11.9795 was down 11.62% compared to the 2017 peak of 13.5546, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 59,898 RSD

2017 Average 61,529 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 54,034 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,863.22 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

11.9931

10.8547

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.1674, compared to 11.7337 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5663 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.1674

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.7337

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.5413 RSD (High: 11.6946 / Low: 11.1533). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1026 RSD (High: 11.5810 / Low: 11.4784).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.5413

July Spread (Stable) ±0.1026

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1645 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1645

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 11.8982) against the same month in 2017 (average: 11.5640), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3342 (+2.89%).

2018 Avg (November) 11.8982

2017 Avg (November) 11.5640

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.3789	10.9184	11.1140
February	11.0692	10.8069	10.9495
March	11.0515	10.8614	10.9556
April	11.1754	10.9016	11.0064
May	11.6946	11.1533	11.4230
June	11.6730	11.4325	11.5559
July	11.5810	11.4784	11.5353
August	11.8848	11.5368	11.7005
September	11.6931	11.4635	11.6012
October	11.9261	11.6615	11.7858
November	11.9795	11.8042	11.8982
December	11.9793	11.7856	11.8811