YEARLY HIGH
13.6127 RSD
YEARLY LOW
12.1820 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.7191 RSD

2016 SVC to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SVC to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 13.6127. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 12.1820.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4307 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.9006 to the December average rate of 13.3774, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.70% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 13.6127 was up 3.82% compared to the 2015 peak of 13.1118, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 68,063 RSD
2015 Average 62,190 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 60,910 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,153.67 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

13.4765
12.2871
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.5982, compared to 12.8400 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2418 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.5982
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.8400

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.7013 RSD (High: 13.3459 / Low: 12.6447). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1113 RSD (High: 12.6259 / Low: 12.5146).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7013
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1113

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2695 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2695

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 13.3774) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12.8142), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5632 (+4.40%).

2016 Avg (December) 13.3774
2015 Avg (December) 12.8142

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.0046 12.7584 12.9006
February 12.9302 12.4252 12.6523
March 12.9928 12.3612 12.6557
April 12.5189 12.2379 12.3862
May 12.6937 12.1820 12.4382
June 12.8540 12.4043 12.5563
July 12.8388 12.6365 12.7353
August 12.6936 12.4414 12.5691
September 12.6259 12.5146 12.5644
October 12.9391 12.5357 12.7571
November 13.3459 12.6447 13.0367
December 13.6127 13.1366 13.3774