YEARLY HIGH
7.8564 RUB
YEARLY LOW
3.7553 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4049 RUB

2014 SVC to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SVC to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 7.8564. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 3.7553.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.1011 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8516 to the December average rate of 6.4270, the exchange rate registered a net change of 66.87% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 7.8564 was up 105.55% compared to the 2013 peak of 3.8222, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,282 RUB
2013 Average 18,213 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 18,776 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,505.71 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

6.6846
3.5940
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0018, compared to 4.8080 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8062 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0018
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8080

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 2.0264 RUB (High: 7.8564 / Low: 5.8300). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1209 RUB (High: 4.1368 / Low: 4.0159).

December Spread (Volatile) ±2.0264
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1209

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0877 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0877

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 6.4270) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3.7553), the exchange rate shifted by +2.6717 (+71.15%).

2014 Avg (December) 6.4270
2013 Avg (December) 3.7553

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0093 3.7553 3.8516
February 4.1202 3.9754 4.0312
March 4.1906 4.0249 4.1343
April 4.1368 4.0159 4.0760
May 4.0952 3.9047 3.9883
June 4.0098 3.8525 3.9296
July 4.0801 3.8861 3.9699
August 4.2304 4.0851 4.1333
September 4.5065 4.1916 4.3402
October 4.9200 4.5265 4.6728
November 5.7087 4.9193 5.3049
December 7.8564 5.8300 6.4270