YEARLY HIGH
9.4011 RUB
YEARLY LOW
6.9136 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.6638 RUB

2016 SVC to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SVC to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 9.4011. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 6.9136.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4875 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.7532 to the December average rate of 7.0915, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 9.4011 was up 12.19% compared to the 2015 peak of 8.3795, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 47,005 RUB
2015 Average 35,006 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 34,568 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,437.40 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

9.0060
6.9174
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.0296, compared to 7.2981 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7315 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.0296
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2981

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.0749 RUB (High: 9.4011 / Low: 8.3262). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1434 RUB (High: 7.2427 / Low: 7.0993).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.0749
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1434

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.8357 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8357

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 8.7532) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.3171), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4361 (+19.63%).

2016 Avg (January) 8.7532
2015 Avg (January) 7.3171

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.4011 8.3262 8.7532
February 9.1149 8.6213 8.8320
March 8.4258 7.6841 7.9963
April 7.8346 7.4140 7.6154
May 7.6637 7.4221 7.5386
June 7.6535 7.2700 7.4418
July 7.6101 7.1819 7.3588
August 7.6473 7.2951 7.4188
September 7.5304 7.1975 7.3746
October 7.2427 7.0993 7.1640
November 7.5284 7.2504 7.3810
December 7.3431 6.9136 7.0915